Patrolling the Plastic: Keeping Track of the Consumer Credit Market (From the Chart Store Weekly Chart Blog for the week ending July 10, 2009)
Analysis of the total consumer credit outstanding shows that the last 10 years, the total consumer debt outstanding as a percentage of disposable personal income has rounded the hump from its all-time high, and is retreating downward. The recent credit market disruption has left many people deleveraging their debt positions, and is pushing this index down further. Unfortunately, the average amount of consumer credit outstanding is still very high relative to the average of 17.5% from 1959 to 1994. Much of the economic expansion in the late 1990s and early twenty-first century was based on debt-financed consumption.
The resultant debt bubble has compromised the ability of many families to continue with their prior spending habits. In practical terms, this means that a prolonged period of adjustment is very likely as consumers slowly move toward a sustainable equilibrium of credit that is nearer to the historical average. This period of adjustment is very likely to result in a downward shift in spending patterns, as well as the observed level of prosperity for the average consumer. Prudent investors should position their portfolios so that they control assets like entry-level rental housing that will be in demand by people who are adapting to the reality of living more modestly.
Non-Dollar-Based Assets Will Rock Your World (From the JasonHartman.com blog)
We’ve been talking a bit lately about how, in our humble opinion, the dollar is poised for a headfirst plummet off a very high cliff. When it does, get ready for the cloud of dust slowly rising up into the sky, just like in the Roadrunner cartoon when Wile E. Coyote makes yet another serious error in judgment.
It doesn’t take much pondering to arrive at the conclusion that a good place to be when the currency crashes is – drum roll, please – OUT of that currency. You need hard, tangible assets. Like commodities? Yes, but probably not what you think. Running out to buy gold and silver is better than Wall Street stocks and bonds, but you can still do much, much better if you turn to income property investing.
After all, what is a structure on land besides a collection of basic commodities like copper, wood, brick, etc? We call it Packaged Commodity Investing™, and this is one (perhaps the only way) to survive the coming fiat currency implosion with your wealth intact. Can you imagine actually being able to create wealth while others around you, especially those who stayed in stocks, are being turned into paupers overnight?
People will still need a place to sleep at night and you will own the pillows. This is how to position yourself to become wealthy in the future. Own something of real value, like real estate. Companies come and go with frightening regularity off the stock market indices. Terra firma beneath your feet? It’s probably going to stay.